Stephen Pollard is a bright guy. He is a prolific columnist, the former head of research at both the Social Market Foundation and the Fabian Society. He is the author of numerous pamphlets and books on health and education policy and has sometimes been referred to as a 'Labour guru.'
How Mr Pollard might be described today is open to debate.
Writing for his Spectator blog on September 24th he wrote:
'For what it's worth, though, I think Mr Brown would be bonkers not to call an election now. He knows the lie of the land; who knows how things will look in May? The only argument I can think of for holding back is that, with every passing day, David Cameron looks less of a potential PM and more of an unprincipled PR lightweight. The more I see of him, the more my dislike grows.'
His entry for October 5th states:
'the real idiocy would be to call an election when there is absolutely no need, and when - as the polls now indicate - there is is no guarantee of the outcome. It is, after all, no more of a gamble to wait than it is to go now. Indeed, it's more likely a lot less of a gamble.'
So, just to re-cap: In late September Stephen says that Brown would be a fool not to call an autumn election and in early October Stephen says Brown would be idiotic to call an autumn election. On September 24th Stephen calls Cameron an unprincipled, PR lightweight but only twelve days later Stephen is potentially endorsing Cameron and pledging to vote Tory at the next election.
What can we expect next week?